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NVDA vs MSFT

NVIDIA vs Microsoft stock: which is the better buy?

Both are a Buy, and close: NVIDIA at 78, Microsoft at 75.

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NVDA

NVIDIA

Buy78/100

Sunny, with 80% confidence

A year from now: $280 (+28.8%)

Read on Oct 20, 2026Full forecast

MSFT

Microsoft

Buy75/100

Sunny, with 75% confidence

A year from now: $614 (+15.0%)

Read on Oct 19, 2026Full forecast

Under the hood

Factor by factor

The six things Tickerday weighs, each scored 0 to 100. The higher of each pair is in its call's color.

Overall score

NVDA
78
MSFT
75

Valuation

NVDA
85
MSFT
40

Growth

NVDA
95
MSFT
85

Profitability

NVDA
98
MSFT
95

Momentum

NVDA
35
MSFT
75

Financial Health

NVDA
90
MSFT
90

Sentiment

NVDA
50
MSFT
55

Where they're headed

Price targets

Each target is measured from the price on the day its stock was read.

Price when read

NVDA$217.39 · Oct 20, 2026

MSFT$533.85 · Oct 19, 2026

Next week

NVDA$220 (+1.2%)

MSFT$539 (+1.0%)

Next month

NVDA$228 (+4.9%)

MSFT$555 (+4.0%)

Next year

NVDA$280 (+28.8%)

MSFT$614 (+15.0%)

The numbers

Key numbers

Market Cap

NVDA$5.23T

MSFT$3.93T

P / E Ratio

NVDA26.8

MSFT29.4

Rev. Growth

NVDA+83.4%

MSFT+17.8%

Net Margin

NVDA+63.7%

MSFT+40.3%

Debt / Equity

NVDA0.15

MSFT0.24

Dividend Yield

NVDA0.1%

MSFT0.7%

Beta

NVDA2.27

MSFT1.06

52-Wk Range

NVDA$164 – $243

MSFT$349 – $554

The argument

The case for and against

Every call has a case against it. Here are both sides, for each stock.

NVIDIA NVDA

The case for

  • Revenue is growing at an explosive 83.4% year-over-year.
  • The company is incredibly profitable, with net margins of 63.7%.

The case against

  • The stock's price has been trending down over the past month.
  • As a high-beta stock (2.27), it tends to be more volatile than the overall market.

Microsoft MSFT

The case for

  • Revenue is growing at a rapid 17.8% clip, a remarkable feat for a company of its massive size.
  • Profitability is world-class, with the company keeping over 40 cents of every dollar in revenue as net profit.

The case against

  • The stock's valuation is a key consideration, with a Price-to-Earnings ratio of 29.4 suggesting high expectations are already priced in.
  • Shares are trading near the top of their 52-week range, which could limit near-term upside.

Tickerday's reads are educational analysis, the same for everyone, not financial advice. NVIDIA was read on Oct 20, 2026 and Microsoft on Oct 19, 2026; each one's page has the full forecast.

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The receipts

Called it. Then it happened.

Real calls from the Tickerday engine, each one graded against the real price a month later.

Palantir Technologies Inc

+52.3%

✓Called it

We said Buy at $122.33 on Jul 30. A month later the price was $186.29.

Graded Aug 28 at the closing price

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