NVDA vs TSM
NVIDIA vs TSMC stock: which is the better buy?
Tickerday reads NVIDIA as a Buy at 78 and TSMC as a Buy at 73. Today, NVIDIA is the stronger call.
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NVDA
NVIDIA
Buy78/100
Sunny, with 80% confidence
A year from now: $280 (+28.8%)
TSM
TSMC
Buy73/100
Sunny, with 75% confidence
A year from now: $510 (+23.6%)
Under the hood
Factor by factor
The six things Tickerday weighs, each scored 0 to 100. The higher of each pair is in its call's color.
NVIDIA
TSMC
Overall score
Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Momentum
Financial Health
Sentiment
Where they're headed
Price targets
Each target is measured from the price on the day its stock was read.
NVIDIA
TSMC
Price when read
NVDA$217.39 · Oct 20, 2026
TSM$412.61 · Oct 19, 2026
Next week
NVDA$220 (+1.2%)
TSM$415 (+0.6%)
Next month
NVDA$228 (+4.9%)
TSM$440 (+6.6%)
Next year
NVDA$280 (+28.8%)
TSM$510 (+23.6%)
The numbers
Key numbers
NVIDIA
TSMC
Market Cap
NVDA$5.23T
TSM$2.14T
P / E Ratio
NVDA26.8
TSM24.8
Rev. Growth
NVDA+83.4%
TSM+36.2%
Net Margin
NVDA+63.7%
TSM+51.5%
Debt / Equity
NVDA0.15
TSM0.14
Dividend Yield
NVDA0.1%
TSM0.9%
Beta
NVDA2.27
TSM0.95
52-Wk Range
NVDA$164 – $243
TSM$267 – $487
The argument
The case for and against
Every call has a case against it. Here are both sides, for each stock.
NVIDIA NVDA
The case for
- Revenue is growing at an explosive 83.4% year-over-year.
- The company is incredibly profitable, with net margins of 63.7%.
The case against
- The stock's price has been trending down over the past month.
- As a high-beta stock (2.27), it tends to be more volatile than the overall market.
TSMC TSM
The case for
- Dominant market leader with incredible profitability, turning over half of its revenue into net profit.
- Riding a massive wave of demand from the artificial intelligence boom, with revenue growing over 36%.
The case against
- The stock has seen a sharp, recent downturn, indicating negative short-term momentum.
- As a contract manufacturer, its fortunes are tied to the spending of other large tech companies, which can be cyclical.
Tickerday's reads are educational analysis, the same for everyone, not financial advice. NVIDIA was read on Oct 20, 2026 and TSMC on Oct 19, 2026; each one's page has the full forecast.
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The receipts
Called it. Then it happened.
Real calls from the Tickerday engine, each one graded against the real price a month later.
Every call is graded
One month after the call, at the closing price.
Palantir Technologies Inc
+52.3%
✓Called it
We said Buy at $122.33 on Jul 30. A month later the price was $186.29.
Graded Aug 28 at the closing price
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