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MCD vs CMG

McDonald's vs Chipotle stock: which is the better buy?

Tickerday reads McDonald's as a Hold at 52 and Chipotle as a Buy at 72. Today, Chipotle is the stronger call.

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MCD

McDonald's

Hold52/100

Partly cloudy, with 55% confidence

A year from now: $260 (+10.5%)

Read on Oct 10, 2026Full forecast

CMG

Chipotle

Buy72/100

Sunny, with 75% confidence

A year from now: $45 (+38.5%)

Read on Jun 21, 2026Full forecast
Stronger call

Under the hood

Factor by factor

The six things Tickerday weighs, each scored 0 to 100. The higher of each pair is in its call's color.

Overall score

MCD
52
CMG
72

Valuation

MCD
70
CMG
60

Growth

MCD
60
CMG
65

Profitability

MCD
90
CMG
90

Momentum

MCD
20
CMG
55

Financial Health

MCD
30
CMG
100

Sentiment

MCD
50
CMG
60

Where they're headed

Price targets

Each target is measured from the price on the day its stock was read.

Price when read

MCD$235.23 · Oct 10, 2026

CMG$32.49 · Jun 21, 2026

Next week

MCD$236 (+0.3%)

CMG$33.50 (+3.1%)

Next month

MCD$233 (−0.9%)

CMG$34 (+4.7%)

Next year

MCD$260 (+10.5%)

CMG$45 (+38.5%)

The numbers

Key numbers

Market Cap

MCD$166.5B

CMG$41.7B

P / E Ratio

MCD19.1

CMG28.7

Rev. Growth

MCD+6.3%

CMG+5.7%

Net Margin

MCD+31.7%

CMG+12.0%

Debt / Equity

MCD40.64

CMG0.00

Dividend Yield

MCD3.1%

CMG—

Beta

MCD0.46

CMG0.96

52-Wk Range

MCD$229 – $342

CMG$28 – $58

The argument

The case for and against

Every call has a case against it. Here are both sides, for each stock.

McDonald's MCD

The case for

  • Stock is trading near its 52-week low, making its valuation more attractive with a P/E ratio of 19.1.
  • Extremely profitable, with a net margin over 31%, which is very high for the restaurant industry.

The case against

  • The stock has been in a clear downtrend, falling significantly from its 52-week high.
  • Carries a very high level of debt, with a Debt/Equity ratio of over 40.

Chipotle CMG

The case for

  • The company maintains exceptional financial health with zero debt, providing a strong foundation.
  • Strong profitability is evident through healthy net and gross margins, indicating efficient operations.

The case against

  • The stock has experienced a significant decline over the past year, indicating past challenges.
  • Despite the recent price drop, its P/E ratio suggests the stock is not outright cheap.

Tickerday's reads are educational analysis, the same for everyone, not financial advice. McDonald's was read on Oct 10, 2026 and Chipotle on Jun 21, 2026; each one's page has the full forecast.

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The receipts

Called it. Then it happened.

Real calls from the Tickerday engine, each one graded against the real price a month later.

Palantir Technologies Inc

+52.3%

✓Called it

We said Buy at $122.33 on Jul 30. A month later the price was $186.29.

Graded Aug 28 at the closing price

Today's prices
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