Weather forecast

Supermicro (SMCI) stock forecast

Partly cloudy

Hold

Score 62/100 · Confidence 60%

A mixed forecast — patience tends to pay here.

Weighed fromlive price action

Why this call

Explosive Growth Meets Thin Margins

Exceptional revenue growth of 77.8% provides a strong tailwind.

The stock's price-to-earnings ratio of 12.3 is low for its growth rate.

Positive momentum over the past month indicates investor interest remains high.

Under the hood

What the engine weighed

Six factors, scored 0–100 from live market and financial data — the same read Wall Street does, minus the jargon.

62Overall score
Valuation
90

The stock looks very inexpensive based on its current earnings and high growth.

Growth
95

Revenue growth is exceptionally strong, driven by high demand.

Profitability
35

Profit margins are a key weakness, suggesting a highly competitive market.

Momentum
75

The stock is in a strong uptrend over the past year, despite a recent dip.

Fin. health
55

The company's balance sheet is reasonably healthy with moderate debt levels.

Sentiment
45

Recent news is mixed, balancing growth excitement with some notable risks.

The argument

Both sides of the sky

Every call has a case against it. Here's the honest version of both.

The bull case

  • Revenue is growing at a blistering pace of nearly 78%, driven by demand for AI hardware.
  • The stock trades at a low price-to-earnings ratio of 12.3, which looks very inexpensive for a high-growth tech company.
  • It's a key supplier for the booming artificial intelligence and data center markets.

The bear case

  • Profit margins are very thin, with a net margin of just 5.7%, suggesting limited pricing power.
  • The stock is highly volatile, with a beta of 2.2, meaning it tends to have much larger price swings than the overall market.
  • Recent news includes a contractor pleading guilty in a major smuggling case, creating headline risk for the company.
Sunny, Tickerday's mascot, fast asleep under the stars

Get the full picture

That took thirty seconds. Now imagine every stock you own.

You just understood SMCI without reading a single chart. The Tickerday app does this for your whole watchlist — the full thesis, price targets from next week to next year, bull and bear scenarios — and wakes you the moment the weather turns.

One plain answer for every stock — Buy, Hold, or Sell

The full picture in seconds — thesis, targets & scenarios

Sleep easy — we watch the market and wake you if it turns

Free to download the day it lands — the web desk is open now

More forecasts