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UNP vs AAL

Union Pacific vs American Airlines stock: which is the better buy?

Tickerday reads Union Pacific as a Hold at 52 and American Airlines as a Sell at 25. Today, Union Pacific is the stronger call.

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UNP

Union Pacific

Hold52/100

Partly cloudy, with 60% confidence

A year from now: $285 (+10.9%)

Read on Jun 19, 2026Full forecast
Stronger call

AAL

American Airlines

Sell25/100

Rainy, with 80% confidence

A year from now: $10 (−19.4%)

Read on Oct 16, 2026Full forecast

Under the hood

Factor by factor

The six things Tickerday weighs, each scored 0 to 100. The higher of each pair is in its call's color.

Overall score

UNP
52
AAL
25

Valuation

UNP
45
AAL
35

Growth

UNP
30
AAL
45

Profitability

UNP
90
AAL
20

Momentum

UNP
25
AAL
15

Financial Health

UNP
55
AAL
10

Sentiment

UNP
50
AAL
25

Where they're headed

Price targets

Each target is measured from the price on the day its stock was read.

Price when read

UNP$256.92 · Jun 19, 2026

AAL$12.40 · Oct 16, 2026

Next week

UNP$256 (−0.4%)

AAL$12.20 (−1.6%)

Next month

UNP$260 (+1.2%)

AAL$11.80 (−4.8%)

Next year

UNP$285 (+10.9%)

AAL$10 (−19.4%)

The numbers

Key numbers

Market Cap

UNP$158.8B

AAL$8.1B

P / E Ratio

UNP21.2

AAL—

Rev. Growth

UNP+1.9%

AAL+7.5%

Net Margin

UNP+29.2%

AAL-0.6%

Debt / Equity

UNP1.58

AAL157.71

Dividend Yield

UNP2.1%

AAL—

Beta

UNP0.98

AAL1.45

52-Wk Range

UNP$211 – $280

AAL$10 – $19

The argument

The case for and against

Every call has a case against it. Here are both sides, for each stock.

Union Pacific UNP

The case for

  • Exceptional profitability, with a net margin over 29%, shows the company is highly efficient at turning revenue into profit.
  • As a major railroad, it has a durable business model with high barriers to entry, making it a key player in the US economy.

The case against

  • Revenue growth is very slow at under 2%, suggesting the business is expanding at a sluggish pace.
  • The stock has recently lost momentum, falling from its 52-week high in the past month.

American Airlines AAL

The case for

  • Revenue is still growing, with sales up 7.5% over the last year.
  • The stock is trading near its 52-week low, which some investors might see as a potential entry point if the company's fortunes turn.

The case against

  • The company is currently unprofitable, with negative earnings per share over the past year.
  • Financial health is a major concern, with a very high debt-to-equity ratio of over 157.

Tickerday's reads are educational analysis, the same for everyone, not financial advice. Union Pacific was read on Jun 19, 2026 and American Airlines on Oct 16, 2026; each one's page has the full forecast.

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The receipts

Called it. Then it happened.

Real calls from the Tickerday engine, each one graded against the real price a month later.

Palantir Technologies Inc

+52.3%

✓Called it

We said Buy at $122.33 on Jul 30. A month later the price was $186.29.

Graded Aug 28 at the closing price

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